NFL Divisional Round DFS Cheat Sheet Five recommended plays

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2023-01-22 13:20

Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) runs for a touchdown during the first half against the Los Angeles Rams at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

•Kansas City Chiefstight endTravis Kelce(91.3 PFF receiving grade):Among 43 NFL pass catchers with at least 500 receiving snaps, Kelces 24 missed tackles forced receiving ranks No. 1.

•Dallas Cowboyswide receiverCeeDee Lamb(86.2 PFF receiving grade):San Francisco 49erscornerbackJimmie Ward(70.5 PFF coverage grade) is overmatched versus Lamb.

•Buffalo Billsdefense/special teams (65.1 PFF pass-rush grade): TheCincinnati Bengalswill be without three starting offensive linemen.

The divisional round of the NFL playoffs has arrived. Here are five recommended plays to help you win big in DraftKings GPP and cash-game competitions.


Kansas City opened as 8.5-point home favorites versus Jacksonville at

The game is totaled at a Mount Olympus-like 53 points, and Kansas City is implied to score a mythical 30.75 points.

Kansas City tight end Travis Kelces (91.3 PFF receiving grade) $7,700 DraftKings salary is $2,000 higher than the next closest tight end. Kelces weekly high floor and high ceiling make him a safe cash-game play every week. Kelces high salary may depress his rostership rate, resulting in an infrequent opportunity to employ him as a cash-game differentiator. His sky-high ceiling makes him an anchor play in large-field GPP tournaments.

Kansas Citys second-ranked passing offense (88.8 PFF passing grade) should carve up Jacksonvilles 23rd-ranked pass defense (64.0 PFF coverage grade).

The Chiefs fourth-ranked passing defense (88.2 PFF coverage grade) is no pushover, but their 28th-ranked 73.0% completion rate allowed offers the Jaguars 13th-ranked passing offense (72.9 PFF passing grade) a chance to keep pace.

gives Kansas City a 27% pass-blocking matchup advantage rating, the best matchup advantage rating of the week.

PFFs TE matchup chartgives Kelce an 81% receiving matchup advantage rating over Jacksonville linebacker

Jacksonvilles intended interior linebacking corps featured fifth-year veteran

(67.1 PFF coverage grade) and first-round rookie Devin Lloyd (37.1 PFF coverage grade). Both players flailed in coverage, but Lloyds especially poor performances gave third-round rookie

(40.2 PFF coverage grade) a two-game starting streak in Weeks 12 and 13 before Muma suffered an ankle sprain that returned Lloyd to the starting role.

Oluokuns run-defense (67.7 PFF run-defense grade)

helps keep him on the field despite his alligator-arm coverage tactics.

Muma has been off the injury report since Week 17. The table below shows Jacksonvilles interior linebacking corps average coverage snap counts and PFF coverage grades in Weeks 17-Wild Card.

Jacksonville Jaguars LB Coverage Weeks 17-WC

The table below ranks season-long coverage data in parentheses for Oluokun, Lloyd and Muma

among 79 linebackers with at least 150 coverage snaps

. No. 1 represents the player, team or units best performance.

14.0% (T-No. 48) 83.2% (No. 59)

17.7% (No. 73) 81.3% (No. 49)

13.9% (No. 45) 81.8% (T-No. 54)

Jacksonvilles linebackers sport a 46.9 unit PFF coverage grade, which ties for 25th.

The table below ranks in parentheses Kelces receiving data

among 45 tight ends with at least 200 receiving snaps

73.3% (T-No. 18) 36.8% (No. 32)

, Kelces 91.3 PFF receiving grade leads the position by seven grading points, his 2.23 yards per route run leads by 0.26, his 32 explosive pass plays leads by four and his 24 missed tackles forced leads by six.

Among 43 NFL pass catchers with at least 500 receiving snaps

, Kelce ranks top eight in PFF receiving grade, targets per route run, yards per route run, catch rate, yards after catch per reception and explosive pass plays. He is No. 1 in missed tackles forced as a receiver.

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